Will Gaddafi End Up in Venezuela – or Chavez in Tripoli?

Hugo Chavez reportedly offered sanctuary to Gaddafi? Now, the international coalition has adopted the objective to force the Libyan dictator out of Tripoli (London Conference on Libya 29-3-2011). The language stops short of formally calling for Gaddafi’s ouster by force, but his continued rule is not put out as a possible in any potential settlement of the conflict. The logic of Resolution 1973 is progressively being stretched, as I foresaw, to effectively define Gaddafi himself as a threat to the Libyan civilian population. So where could Gaddafi end-up if he is forced out?

No Welcome in Arab or Broader Muslim World

There is no Arab state that will give Gaddafi refuge. Saudi Arabia, (presumably as a form of sanctuary due to its role as sovereign over the holly cities of Islam), has in past become the new residence for previous exiled leaders, most recently Zine El Abidine Ben Ali former strongman of Tunisia. However, Gaddafi has particularly worn out his welcome there and almost any other Arab state. Further, what Arab regime that may be now facing calls from its own population for reform wants to import someone else’s radioactive political waste? The same can be more broadly attributed to Islamic countries, (members of the Organization of the Islamic Conference).

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